Why the Federal Reserve Isn't Worried About Inflation...Unlike Everyone Else
65 Second Read
Stocks Close Near Record Highs
Dow: -0.09% | Nasdaq: +0.31% | S&P: +0.02%
Catch Up Quick
Manchester United will allow fans to buy shares in club
Katerra, a construction tech startup with ~$2B in funding from firms such as SoftBank, has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection
Clear Secure, the biometric identity company known for its airport security lines, filed for an IPO
Chipotle Mexican Grill ($CMG) raised menu prices by ~4% to cover the costs of rising wages
United Airlines will require employees to show proof of vaccination
The FDA approved the first Alzheimer's drug in nearly 20 years
Wendy’s shares ($WEN) surge ~25% to record highs after a post in Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum declared it “the perfect stock”
The Chernin Group (TCG), an investment firm specializing in media + tech consumer brands, is raising $1B
El Salvador may recognize bitcoin as a legal tender
Cruise, GM’s autonomous vehicle arm, is approved to shuttle California passengers in with no operator behind the wheel
The Nigerian government has banned Twitter
A group of private-equity firms will acquire Medline Industries for $30B
Thought of the Day
In light of pandemic-induced government spending, the NY Fed found inflation expectations to have reached levels unseen in over a decade
This sentiment reflects surging prices of lumber, iron, copper, corn, soybeans, wheat, and oil, among others
Many prominent high-finance figures, such as Ray Dalio, Bill Ackman, Michael Burry and Warren Buffet, have all have been outspoken about fears of inflation (or even hyperinflation)
Surprisingly, the Fed is swimming upstream with an opposing stance, arguing that recent price rises are merely “transitory” and temporary, as economic reopening pressures supply chains
Some recent price appreciation indeed appears attributable to an acute demand spike disrupting supply chains that were idle due to pandemic shortages
In parallel with this narrative, market forces will balance in the short-term and fully recovered supply chains should pull prices back to earth
However, employers such as McDonalds, Target, BestBuy, Starbucks, and Costco (among others) have recently increased wages, which unlike supply shortage price hikes, are usually less temporary
The Bottom Lines
While titans of industry & The Federal Reserve have differing takes on inflation, pay close attention to raw material prices (if they begin to normalize or not)
If not, The Fed will be forced to choose between letting inflation run or raising rates, both of which could send record high stock prices into a spiral
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