Why Space Equities Are Attractive
Thursday, April 1st (81 Second Read)
S&P Notches Record High, Closing > 4000
Dow: +0.52 | Nasdaq: +1.76 | S&P: +1.18%
Catch Up Quick
A Baltimore plant accidentally destroyed 15M COVID-19 vaccines from J&J
Major companies are expressing concern about Georgia's voting rights law → critics say it will affect Black communities' voting access
New York has legalized recreational marijuana for all adults > age of 21
Shares in Deliveroo ($ROO) bottomed-out down 30%, in the U.K. food delivery company's debut on the London Stock Exchange
Google ($GOOGL) is accelerating partial reopening of offices and putting limits on future of remote work
President Biden asked the Education secretary to see if he can legally cancel up to $50K in student debt
Zoom CEO Eric Yuan and hundreds of Asian American business leaders pledge $10M to AAPI causes
T-Mobile plans to shut down an important network Dish customers still use
Endeavor, the entertainment talent agency and live events operator led by Ari Emanuel, filed for an IPO
Microsoft ($MSFT) won a U.S. Army contract for augmented reality headsets worth up to ~$22B over 10 years
President Biden will not use a wealth tax to help pay for the incoming infrastructure package
UnitedMasters, a distribution platform for musicians, raised a $50M Series B led by Apple (very rare investment type from the tech giant)
Thought of the Day
This past Tuesday, $50B asset manager ARK Invest unveiled a space exploration ETF → ARKX
In our view, the space industry is one of the most promising yet least understood industries in existence
For example, last year, Bank of America issued conservative estimates for space to become a $1.4T market in the next decade, fueled by a double-digit CAGR
CNBC’s Jim Cramer recently provided a different perspective
One look at the newly launched ARK Space Exploration ETF tells you everything you need to know about how managers can’t resist creating new funds, even if there’s no reason for them to exist — Jim Cramer, Mad Money
Cramer continued to critique the fund via confusion as to why names like Amazon ($AMZN), Alibaba ($BABA) and Netflix ($NFLX) were included
In our views, the space industry, while bearing inevitable future growth, is already an invisible backbone to our economy
For example, consider Netflix in the context of the aforementioned, and its ~200M paying subscribers
In the U.S. alone, there’s > 40M people w/ out access to broadband
If a satellite solution can bring access to those customers, reasonably assuming a a semi-linear relationship between paying subscribers and revenue, this would expand the topline for Netflix by over 20% → a colossal increase for a $230B market cap company
The Bottom Lines
SpaceX finished 2020 with 25 orbital missions, up from 13 in 2019
While this only reflects results from one company, it’s vanguard status allows it to be a reasonable industry benchmark from a technology perspective
Relative to huge yet quiet industry gains, most space ETFs have not priced accordingly → $UFO has only gained ~1% in the past 2 years
In short, between huge growth potential and underwhelming industry understanding ( → low valuations), now could be a good time to add space exposure to portfolios!
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