Hot Take Bull Thesis: WeWork is Back
Tuesday, March 30th
Stocks Slide Under Treasury Yield Pressure
Dow: -0.31% | Nasdaq: -0.11% | S&P: -0.32%
Catch Up Quick
The 10-year Treasury Yield notched a 14-month high
The large ocean vessel blocking the Suez Canal has finally been freed
Cathie Wood's Ark ETFs removed a 30% cap on how much of assets could be invested in securities of a single entity
Lululemon ($LULU) forecasts better-than-expected sales as digital business accelerates
90% of U.S. adults will be eligible to get a COVID-19 vaccine in 3 weeks
Spotify ($SPOT) acquired Clubhouse rival Betty Labs (known for their app “Locker Room”)
Southwest Airlines ($LUV) is buying 100 new Boeing 737 MAX jets
Volkswagen won’t rebrand U.S. unit as Voltswagen
The FTC sued to block Illumina’s ($ILMN) acquisition of Grail
Nike ($NKE) filed a trademark infringement lawsuit against Lil Nas X’s “Satan Shoes”
Amazon ($AMZN) workers in Alabama are set to vote on unionization today
Losses from hedge-fund Archegos Capital Management triggered the liquidation of >$30B in positions
Thought of the Day
WeWork, the notorious on-demand office space leasing company recently announced plans to go public via a SPAC at a ~$9B valuation
The news comes nearly 2 years after WeWork’s botched ~$47B IPO brought to light numerous structural issues within the companies finances and upper management
WeWork makes money by renting via long-term leases, renovating and modernizing office spaces before re-renting at higher rates to enterprises, small businesses, start-ups, or even individuals in return for greater flexibility
Embroiled in controversy, WeWork was once a laughing stock amongst both the tech and finance realms, ridiculed for its unorthodox CEO coupled with a questionable business model and significant financial losses
This time around however, WeWork’s value proposition warrants greater consideration as the global pandemic paradoxically has accelerated trends in which WeWork is well-positioned to capitalize
While work-from-home has seen significant adoption over the past year, according to JLL, ¾ of workers still want to return to the office, with an altered preference towards hybrid / dynamic work environments
As such, enterprises both large and small are likely to be less interested in committing to expensive long-term leases and instead favor shorter leases and smaller / more flexible workspaces without the need to accommodate every employee 5+ days a week (WeWork)
The Bottom Lines
Short-term leasing is inherently a volatile and risky market to pursue
But new leadership, fresh funding, and a first-movers advantage gives WeWork a unique opportunity to get ahead of workspace trends catalyzed by the pandemic
While such a thesis is not complete without extensive financial due diligence, what was once a vanguard meme source might become a serious contender within an ever evolving commercial real estate landscape!
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