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Why Critics Have the Salesforce / Slack Combo Wrong
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Why Critics Have the Salesforce / Slack Combo Wrong

Afternoon Audit
Dec 3, 2020
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Newsletter Update: Many thanks to all Afternoon Audit readers! Our goal: to insightfully simplify complex topics within financial markets and technology. We truly curate this to be a free learning tool for those interested. Despite higher than expected subscriber growth, we have struggled to expand our team in a highly selective effort to do so. To ensure our focus remains on the quality and not quantity of content, we will now be sending our excerpts on Tuesdays and Thursdays.

Dow: 0.29% | Nasdaq: 0.23% | S&P: 0.06%

Catch Up Quick

  • FedEx ($FDX) agreed to buy Chicago-based shipping payment e-commerce network ShopRunner

  • The November jobs report is out tomorrow at 8:30am ET, in which the economy is expected to have added ~500K jobs last month

  • Delta warns of slowing bookings, higher cash burn as COVID cases rise

  • USPS delays announcement on possible electric vehicle fleet deal

  • IBM uncovers global email attack on COVID vaccine supply chain

  • Uber is reportedly in advanced talks to sell its Uber Elevate unit

  • Mitch McConnell says a stimulus compromise is within reach

  • Digital health startup Everlywell has raised a $175M in a Series D

  • Discovery launched its new streaming service called Discovery+

  • Southwest warns 6,800 employees of potential furloughs

  • Christmas Tree sales are up 29% so far in 2020


Thought of the Day

  • In the largest software M&A deal since IBM's acquisition of Red Hat in late 2018, yesterday, Salesforce ($CRM) formalized its intent to purchase Slack ($WORK) for $27.7B in cash and stock

  • Since, copious financiers and technologists have gone out of their way to use this as a "final straw" for record high technology valuations

  • One venture capitalist who preferred to remain anonymous told Pitchbook "I give up...I could have made a solid case for Slack at one-third that amount... and I'm feeling the same about most of the venture deals I see getting done"

  • However, the truth is, minority venture investors and industry critiques are typically not in the trenches with pre-announcement deal discussions

  • Taking a step back, when executives of a Fortune 500 company contemplate growth, options to bolster the product suite always begin at the same starting point, bifurcated accordingly: 1) build in-house or 2) acquire

  • For a vanguard software company, its industry environment is characterized by high scalability & demand and low entry barriers, which deem first mover advantages crucial to establishing a competitive advantage

  • Because so, in this rapidly changing, relatively stochastic playing field, time to market lag associated with building new products and features in house can be devastating

  • Thus, an explanation for the trend behind M&A deal flow in the technology sector arises

  • Between its $15.3B acquisition of data visualization company Tableau in 2019 and its $6.5B deal with back-end software developer Mulesoft in 2018, Salesforce has a strong track record of successful inorganic growth

  • Paying nearly $30B for a negative cash flow asset (Slack) certainly seems tough to justify upon initial glance

  • However, in the software realm, it is often overlooked that profitability metrics are materially inferior to growth rates as drivers of valuations


The Bottom Lines

  • Before the pandemic, a highly connected remote workforce was a luxury; now, for many companies, it is a necessity

  • Given it's repeated intention to level the playing field with Microsoft and the fact that Slack fills a huge vacancy in the collaboration vertical of its existing product suite, this deal, as a long-term bet by Salesforce to capitalize on the lucrative trend of sustained work-from-wherever, deserves more consideration than purchase price

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